Businesses can more easily traverse the difficulties caused by semiconductor volatility and ensure a more robust supply chain by taking a proactive and adaptable strategy.
FREMONT, CA: Several OEMs and contract manufacturers are finding their inventory out of balance due to increased purchasing during the electronic component scarcity and a decline in demand that persisted through the first quarter of 2023. The golden screws, or pieces required to finish production, are still lacking, even though they have an excess of some electronic components. Consequently, businesses will continue to spend a large portion of the remainder of the year attempting to sell or absorb excess inventory and buy those essential items to guarantee the success of their manufacturing processes.
The predicted super cycle is expected to start in 2024, with EV, AI, IoT, 5G, and other technical advancements serving as primary drivers. However, once the excessive supply is depleted, there will be a significant surge in demand for more chips. In spite of the unchanging demand, the IT infrastructure that has been developed to meet it will still need to be fully operational. This will result in supply chain unpredictability until 2025.
Stay ahead of the industry with exclusive feature stories on the top companies, expert insights and the latest news delivered straight to your inbox. Subscribe today.
Manufacturing re-shore is underway, and new semiconductor production facilities are being constructed and will become operational in the coming years. Even with increasing manufacturing, it is predicted that the supply chain will experience volatility due to component restrictions in some areas and, to a lesser extent, inventory mix difficulties until 2030. This instability will be fueled partly by the supercycle's expansion as industry and consumers adopt newer technologies at an unprecedented rate, driving even more demand for chips.
The next generation of technology will need thinner wafers and more complicated advanced nodes, which will be produced by the new fabs that are being constructed to relieve more pressure on the supply chain. However, the inventory mix will continue to be a concern. The demand for older chips, which are necessary to sustain products with extended lifecycles in important areas like medical and automotive, will remain exceptionally high. Even so, it is still being determined whether the new semiconductor production facilities will be capable of supporting the manufacturing of these components.
With a clear understanding of the demand for products in the super cycle, it becomes easier to plan effectively for the appropriate inventory mix. As greater visibility is achieved regarding the component requirements of products still under development and progress is made in the power and infrastructure build-out, a greater understanding will emerge regarding the supporting elements to stabilise the supply chain.